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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
19.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Bologna

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
2 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Bologna 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.43 / X 3.20 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 22.0% / X 30.4% / Bologna 47.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 21.9%
X 30.4%
2 47.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Bologna

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 4.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.43 22.6%
Х 3.20 31.3%
П2 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.85 54.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.26 44.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.69 59.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.08 32.5%
П2 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Genoa
L L L D L
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:5 AtalantaAtalanta
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Venezia
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Bologna
D D W D
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 ParmaParma
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
22.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 Monza
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 ComoComo
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Bologna

Genoa
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history