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Serie A
Serie A Italy
31.10.2024 17:30 UTC Match prediction
31.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Fiorentina

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 1
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Fiorentina October 31, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.24 / X 3.85 / 2 1.72
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 18.5% / X 25.2% / Fiorentina 56.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 18.5%
X 25.2%
2 56.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.10.2024 17:30 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 5.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 2.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.24 19.1%
X 3.85 26.0%
1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.24 44.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.93 25.5%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
Genoa
L D L L L
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 BolognaBologna
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:5 AtalantaAtalanta
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Venezia
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Fiorentina
W W W D W
27.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 5:1 AS RomaAS Roma
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 6:0 LecceLecce
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
29.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 Empoli
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 LazioLazio
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Fiorentina

Genoa
0 matches total
Fiorentina
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history