Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Hellas Verona

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
2 : 1
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Hellas Verona 29 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 2.93 / 2 4.34
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 45.6% / X 32.5% / Hellas Verona 22.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 45.6%
X 32.5%
2 21.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 34.8%
Under 2.5 65.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.37 market consensus · line only
X 2.93 market consensus · line only
1 2.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.10 47.6%
Х 2.95 33.9%
П2 4.69 21.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.08 48.1% 2.07 48.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%
Х 2.95 33.9% 2.94 34.0% 3.06 32.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
П2 4.10 24.4% 4.55 22.0% 4.43 22.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.30 23.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.21 45.3% 2.28 43.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Genoa
D D W L L
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:3 CagliariCagliari
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 TorinoTorino
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Hellas Verona
L D L L D
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 ParmaParma
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 LecceLecce
02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 InterInter
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:3 ComoComo
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:2 CagliariCagliari
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Hellas Verona

Genoa
2 matches total
Hellas Verona
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Hellas Verona: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Hellas Verona 0:2 (01.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 01.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa
0:0
Hellas Verona
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa
0:2
Hellas Verona