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Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
14.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Inter

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
1 : 2
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Inter December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.74 / X 4.06 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 14.1% / X 23.4% / Inter 62.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 14.1%
X 23.4%
2 62.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 47.1%
Under 2.5 52.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.07 market consensus · line only
1 6.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.28 13.7%
X 4.23 23.6%
1.51 66.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.80 14.7% 7.30 13.7% 6.81 14.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.25 23.5% 4.27 23.4% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8%
1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.50 40.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.56 39.1%
Match center
Genoa
W W D D W
08.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 UdineseUdinese
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:3 CagliariCagliari
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
11 Points
Inter
W W L W W
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:0 ComoComo
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 PisaPisa
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LazioLazio
02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Inter

Genoa
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history