Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 3
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Juventus 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.43 / X 3.35 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 17.9% / X 29.0% / Juventus 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 17.9%
X 29.0%
2 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Juventus

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 5.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.43 18.4%
Х 3.35 29.9%
П2 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 2.08 48.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.55 64.5%
ТМ 1.5 2.61 38.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.86 25.9%
П2 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Genoa
L D L
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Venezia
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Juventus
D D D
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 NapoliNapoli
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 Empoli
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 AS RomaAS Roma
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Juventus

Genoa
0 matches total
Juventus
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history