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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.01.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Pisa

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
1 : 1
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Pisa January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.04 / 2 4.70
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 48.3% / X 31.4% / Pisa 20.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 48.4%
X 31.3%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 36.5%
Under 2.5 63.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.98 50.5%
X 3.09 32.4%
4.96 20.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.16 31.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.90 34.5%
4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Genoa
L L L W W
29.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
14.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 InterInter
08.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 UdineseUdinese
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Pisa
L D L L L
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 JuventusJuventus
21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 CagliariCagliari
12.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 LecceLecce
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 ParmaParma
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 InterInter
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Pisa

Genoa
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history