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Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Udinese

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
1 : 0
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Udinese April 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.98 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 40.2% / X 32.6% / Udinese 27.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 40.2%
X 32.6%
2 27.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.58 market consensus · line only
X 2.98 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.42 41.3%
X 2.98 33.6%
3.58 27.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 1.5 2.63 38.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Genoa
L L D L L
31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 BolognaBologna
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:5 AtalantaAtalanta
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.8 Conceded
1 Points
Udinese
L W L W L
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 Venezia
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 CagliariCagliari
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 LecceLecce
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 InterInter
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Udinese

Genoa
0 matches total
Udinese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history