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Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Udinese

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 2
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Udinese March 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.04 / 2 3.78
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 43.7% / X 31.2% / Udinese 25.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 43.7%
X 31.2%
2 25.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 38.3%
Under 2.5 61.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.19 31.4%
3.77 26.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.16 46.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.17 31.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.65 27.4% 3.85 26.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.13 47.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Genoa
W W L W D
15.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 InterInter
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Udinese
L D W L L
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 JuventusJuventus
07.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:2 AtalantaAtalanta
02.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
23.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 BolognaBologna
15.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Udinese

Genoa
2 matches total
Udinese
Genoa: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Genoa 2:1 (08.12 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 08.12 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

08.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa
2:1
Udinese
04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa
1:0
Udinese