Serie A
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Fiorentina — 43%
Model estimate: win Hellas Verona 28.5%, draw 28.2%, win Fiorentina 43.3%. Model favourite — Fiorentina.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Hellas Verona: Win 3.80 Hellas Verona: Draw 3.20 Fiorentina Win: 2.10 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.38 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Hellas Verona bolshe 0.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Hellas Verona menshe 0.5: 2.25 Individualnyy t…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.10 24.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.20 23.8% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.23 31.0% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.75 57.1% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.08 48.1% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.65 37.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.0 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | — |
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Genoa
Bologna
Napoli
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Inter
Cremonese
Parma
Udinese
Pisa
Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Fiorentina
Serie A
Fiorentina
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Hellas Verona - Fiorentina breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
