Serie A
Serie A Italy
11.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Lazio

Italy Futbol
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Lazio 11 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.47 / X 2.88 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 27.4% / X 33.1% / Lazio 39.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 27.4%
X 33.1%
2 39.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 34.0%
Under 2.5 66.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · line only
X 2.89 market consensus · line only
1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.55 28.2%
Х 2.95 33.9%
П2 2.46 40.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4%
Х 2.86 35.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.98 33.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
П2 2.38 42.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.66 60.2% 1.64 61.0%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.32 43.1% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Hellas Verona
D L L W W
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:2 NapoliNapoli
04.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 TorinoTorino
28.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Lazio
D L D D W
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 NapoliNapoli
27.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 UdineseUdinese
20.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
13.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 ParmaParma
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Lazio

Hellas Verona
2 matches total
Lazio
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lazio 0:4 (31.08 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 31.08 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 1

Match history

31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
0:4
Lazio
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Lazio