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Serie A Italy

11.05.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

11.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Hellas Verona - Lecce

Italy Football

Hellas Verona

1 : 1

Finished

Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Lecce May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.88 / 2 3.30
1X2 market: Hellas Verona 36.7% / X 33.8% / Lecce 29.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 36.7%

X 33.8%

2 29.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Hellas Verona - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.30 market consensus · line only

X 2.88 market consensus · line only

1 2.65 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.53 market consensus · line only

12 1.46 market consensus · line only

1X 1.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.65 37.7%
X	2.88 34.7%
	3.30 30.3%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.46 68.5%
home_draw	1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 1.5	1.53 65.4%
Under 1.5	2.62 38.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.74 57.5%
	2.17 46.1%

Match center

Hellas Verona

L L L D D

03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:1 Inter

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:2 Cagliari

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:1 AS Roma

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 0:0 Genoa

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Hellas Verona 1:1 Torino

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

2 Points

Lecce

L D L L D

03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:1 Napoli

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:1 Atalanta

19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lecce 0:3 Como

12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:2 Juventus

06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Lecce 1:1 Venezia

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Lecce

Hellas Verona

1 matches total

Lecce

Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lecce: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lecce 0:1 (29.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 29.10 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.10 17:30 UTC

Serie A

Hellas Verona

0:1

Lecce