Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Monza

Italy Futbol
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 3
Finished
Monza
Monza

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Monza 21 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.10 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 40.4% / X 31.4% / Monza 28.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 40.4%
X 31.4%
2 28.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 41.3%
Under 2.5 58.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Monza

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.44 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.41 41.5%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.44 29.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.65 60.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.64 61.0%
П2 2.35 42.6%
Match center
Hellas Verona
W L L L W
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 Venezia
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 ComoComo
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 TorinoTorino
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 LazioLazio
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:0 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Monza
D L L D D
06.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Monza 0:2 NapoliNapoli
22.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:2 BolognaBologna
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Monza 1:1 InterInter
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Monza 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Monza

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Monza
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history