Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Torino

Italy Futbol
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 3
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Torino 4 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 2.87 / 2 2.93
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 34.3% / X 33.2% / Torino 32.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 34.4%
X 33.2%
2 32.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 35.2%
Under 2.5 64.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.93 market consensus · line only
X 2.87 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.85 35.1%
Х 2.93 34.1%
П2 2.98 33.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.65 37.7% 2.78 36.0% 2.89 34.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0%
Х 2.92 34.3% 2.91 34.4% 2.94 34.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7%
П2 2.95 33.9% 2.94 34.0% 3.04 32.9% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.21 45.3% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L W W L L
28.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 GenoaGenoa
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 ParmaParma
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Torino
L W W L L
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 CagliariCagliari
21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 AC MilanAC Milan
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 LecceLecce
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Torino

Hellas Verona
2 matches total
Torino
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Torino: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Torino 2:3 (20.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 20.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:1
Torino
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
2:3
Torino