Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Venezia

Italy Futbol
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
2 : 1
Finished
Venezia
Venezia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Venezia 4 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.18 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 36.8% / X 30.6% / Venezia 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.6%
1 36.8%
X 30.6%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5 45.3%
Under 2.5 54.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Venezia

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.65 37.7%
Х 3.18 31.5%
П2 2.99 33.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.15 46.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.83 54.6%
П2 2.06 48.5%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L L L W
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 ComoComo
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 TorinoTorino
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 LazioLazio
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:0 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Venezia
L W L
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:0 GenoaGenoa
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia 0:4 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Venezia

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Venezia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history