Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - AC Milan

Italy Futbol
Inter
Inter
1 : 2
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - AC Milan 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.90 / 2 5.37
  • 1X2 market: Inter 57.1% / X 24.9% / AC Milan 18.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 57.1%
X 24.9%
2 18.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - AC Milan

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
Х 3.90 25.6%
П2 5.37 18.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.21 45.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.27 78.7%
П2 4.07 24.6%
Match center
Inter
D
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 Monza
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
AC Milan
W
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 Venezia
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - AC Milan

Inter
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history