Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - AC Milan

Italy Futbol
Inter
Inter
0 : 1
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - AC Milan 23 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.19 / 2 3.86
  • 1X2 market: Inter 45.4% / X 29.9% / AC Milan 24.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 45.4%
X 29.9%
2 24.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 45.9%
Under 2.5 54.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 2.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.15 46.5%
Х 3.16 31.7%
П2 4.05 24.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.34 29.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 4.03 24.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Inter
W W W L W
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LazioLazio
02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:3 NapoliNapoli
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
AC Milan
D W D D W
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 ParmaParma
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 PisaPisa
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - AC Milan

Inter
1 matches total
AC Milan
Inter: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AC Milan: 1 (100%)
Biggest win AC Milan 1:2 (22.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 22.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter
1:2
AC Milan