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Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
14.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Atalanta

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
1 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Atalanta March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.52 / 2 5.78
  • 1X2 market: Inter 62.2% / X 21.2% / Atalanta 16.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 62.2%
X 21.2%
2 16.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5 59.9%
Under 2.5 40.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Inter - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.52 market consensus · line only
1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.54 64.9%
X 4.55 22.0%
6.03 16.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.72 21.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.55 22.0% 4.55 22.0%
5.80 17.2% 5.99 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 5.85 17.1% 6.03 16.6% 6.03 16.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.19 45.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.57 38.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.59 38.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Inter
L W W W W
08.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 GenoaGenoa
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LecceLecce
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 JuventusJuventus
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 SassuoloSassuolo
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Atalanta
D L W W W
07.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:2 UdineseUdinese
01.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
22.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 NapoliNapoli
14.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 LazioLazio
09.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Atalanta

Inter
1 matches total
Atalanta
Inter: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Inter 1:0 (28.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 28.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter
1:0
Atalanta