PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
04.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Bologna

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
3 : 1
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Bologna January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.76 / 2 7.41
  • 1X2 market: Inter 67.1% / X 20.0% / Bologna 12.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 67.1%
X 20.0%
2 12.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.42 70.4%
X 4.90 20.4%
7.76 12.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.80 20.8% 4.98 20.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%
6.80 14.7% 7.30 13.7% 7.60 13.2% 7.00 14.3% 7.80 12.8% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.87 34.8% 2.92 34.3% 3.05 32.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Inter
W W W W L
28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
14.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 GenoaGenoa
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:0 ComoComo
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 PisaPisa
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Bologna
D L D L W
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 JuventusJuventus
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 LazioLazio
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 CremoneseCremonese
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:0 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Bologna

Inter
1 matches total
Bologna
Inter: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bologna: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bologna 0:1 (20.04 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 20.04 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter
0:1
Bologna