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Serie A
Serie A Italy
12.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Cagliari

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
3 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Cagliari April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.39 / 2 9.71
  • 1X2 market: Inter 72.1% / X 17.9% / Cagliari 10.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 72.1%
X 17.9%
2 10.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 58.3%
Under 2.5 41.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Inter - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.71 market consensus · line only
X 5.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.39 18.6%
9.71 10.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.54 28.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 2.5 2.32 43.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.11 90.1%
7.97 12.6%
Match center
Inter
D W D W W
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:2 ParmaParma
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 Empoli
27.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:4 JuventusJuventus
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
11 Points
Cagliari
D L L W D
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 Empoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 UdineseUdinese
20.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 TorinoTorino
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Cagliari

Inter
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history