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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
28.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Genoa

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
2 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Genoa February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.17 / 2 9.17
  • 1X2 market: Inter 71.2% / X 18.4% / Genoa 10.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 71.2%
X 18.4%
2 10.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 55.3%
Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.22 market consensus · line only
X 5.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.59 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.32 18.8%
9.87 10.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
X 4.90 20.4% 5.30 18.9% 5.38 18.6% 4.80 20.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.30 18.9%
9.20 10.9% 9.80 10.2% 9.30 10.8% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.19 45.7% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.30 30.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Inter
W W W W W
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LecceLecce
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 JuventusJuventus
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 SassuoloSassuolo
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 6:2 PisaPisa
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
Genoa
W D L L W
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 LazioLazio
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:2 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Genoa

Inter
1 matches total
Genoa
Inter: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Inter 2:1 (14.12 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 14.12 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter
2:1
Genoa