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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Lazio

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
2 : 2
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Lazio May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.00 / 2 5.11
  • 1X2 market: Inter 56.9% / X 24.2% / Lazio 18.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 56.9%
X 24.2%
2 18.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 4.00 25.0%
5.11 19.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.27 44.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.19 84.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 2.5 2.11 47.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.29 77.5%
3.88 25.8%
Match center
Inter
W W L L W
11.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 TorinoTorino
03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 BolognaBologna
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:1 CagliariCagliari
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Lazio
D W D W D
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 JuventusJuventus
04.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Empoli
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 ParmaParma
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 GenoaGenoa
13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Lazio

Inter
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history