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Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
09.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Lazio

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
2 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Lazio November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.19 / 2 8.81
  • 1X2 market: Inter 70.8% / X 18.4% / Lazio 10.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 70.9%
X 18.3%
2 10.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.85 market consensus · line only
X 5.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.15 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.40 18.5%
9.41 10.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 5.47 18.3% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
8.25 12.1% 8.80 11.4% 9.30 10.8% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.32 30.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Inter
W W L W W
02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:3 NapoliNapoli
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
04.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:1 CremoneseCremonese
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Lazio
W D W D D
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 CagliariCagliari
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 PisaPisa
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 JuventusJuventus
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 TorinoTorino
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Lazio

Inter
1 matches total
Lazio
Inter: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 18.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (18.05 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter
2:2
Lazio