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Serie A
Serie A Italy
05.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - AC Milan

Italy Football
Juventus
Juventus
0 : 0
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - AC Milan October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.76 / X 3.04 / 2 2.77
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 34.4% / X 31.3% / AC Milan 34.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 34.4%
X 31.3%
2 34.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Juventus - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.85 35.1%
X 3.00 33.3%
2.92 34.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.78 36.0% 2.86 35.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%
2.72 36.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.81 35.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Juventus
D D W W W
27.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:3 InterInter
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 GenoaGenoa
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 ParmaParma
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
AC Milan
W W W W L
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 NapoliNapoli
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 UdineseUdinese
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 BolognaBologna
29.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:0 LecceLecce
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:2 CremoneseCremonese
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - AC Milan

Juventus
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history