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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.09.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
27.09.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Atalanta

Italy Football
Juventus
Juventus
1 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Atalanta September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.44 / 2 4.14
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 49.2% / X 27.8% / Atalanta 23.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 49.2%
X 27.7%
2 23.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.16 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.95 51.3%
X 3.47 28.8%
4.37 22.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
3.95 25.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.32 23.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Juventus
D W W W W
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:3 InterInter
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 GenoaGenoa
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 ParmaParma
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:2 Venezia
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
13 Points
Atalanta
W W D D L
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:0 TorinoTorino
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:1 LecceLecce
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 ParmaParma
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 PisaPisa
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 ParmaParma
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Atalanta

Juventus
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history