PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.04.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Bologna

Italy Football
Stadium Alyants Stadium
Juventus
Juventus
2 : 0
Finished
Bologna
Bologna
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Juventus — 63%

1 · Juventus ✓ Pick62.9%
market66%
X · draw22.0%
market20%
2 · Bologna15.1%
market14%

Model estimate: win Juventus 62.9%, draw 22.0%, win Bologna 15.1%. Model favourite — Juventus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Bologna April 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Strongest: Juventus - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.66 / 2 6.97
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 65.8% / X 20.5% / Bologna 13.7%
  • Glicko: Juventus 62.9% / X 22.0% / Bologna 15.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 39.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 ✓ Pick 65.8%
X 20.5%
2 13.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 56.4%
Under 2.5 43.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 64.8%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 19.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Stadium Alyants Stadium (Turin)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Juventus 63%
💹 Market Juventus 6582%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Juventus - Bologna

Juventus: Win 1.44 Juventus: Draw 4.75 Bologna Win: 7.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Juventus bolshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Juventus menshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Bologna bol…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 13
Statistics 24
Lineups 42
min Event Player Team
2' 2' Normal Goal | J. David Emil Mayorov Juventus
46' 46' Substitution 1 | E. Holm | assist/sub out: K. Thuram Juventus
57' 57' Normal Goal | K. Thuram | assist/sub out: W. McKennie Juventus
58' 58' Substitution 3 | T. Pobega | assist/sub out: N. Moro Bologna
59' 59' Substitution 4 | N. Cambiaghi | assist/sub out: J. Rowe Bologna
59' 59' Substitution 5 | S. Sohm | assist/sub out: L. Ferguson H. Tyrer Bologna
60' 60' Yellow Card | M. Locatelli Juventus
68' 68' Substitution 7 | E. Fauske Helland | assist/sub out: T. Heggem Bologna
Metric Juventus Bologna SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.31 0.59 final
Zablokirovannye udary 6 2 final
Shots off target 4 5 final
Shots on target 4 0 final
Udary vsego 14 7 final
Fouls soversheno 10 5 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 0 final
Offsides 4 0 final
Juventus #2 E. Holm, #3 Bremer, #5 M. Locatelli, #6 L. Kelly, #7 F. Conceicao, #13 J. Boga, #15 P. Kalulu, #16 M. Di Gregorio, #22 Weston McKennie, #27 A. Cambiaso, #30 J. David
Bologna #4 T. Pobega, #5 E. Helland, #7 R. Orsolini, #8 R. Freuler, #9 S. Castro, #13 F. Ravaglia, #20 N. Zortea, #23 S. Sohm, #26 J. Lucumi, #28 N. Cambiaghi, #33 Juan Miranda
Player Team Metric SStats
C. Lykogiannis Bologna Seyvy 0
E. Helland Bologna football.player.assists 0
E. Helland Bologna Dribling popytki 4
E. Helland Bologna Edinoborstva vyigrano 6
E. Helland Bologna Seyvy 0
E. Helland Bologna football.player.minutes_played 68
E. Helland Bologna Klyuchevye pasy 39
E. Helland Bologna Reyting (staryy) 6.7
E. Helland Bologna Bloki 1
E. Helland Bologna Perekhvaty 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Juventus 66.3% 62.9% market and model agree
Draw 20.4% 22.0% draw risk
Bologna 13.3% 15.1%
xG - 1.85 : 0.77
Total 2.5 Over 39.3% - Under 60.7%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.9% / 22.0% / 15.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,652 / 1,524 Juventus / Bologna
RD 73 / 72 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.97 market consensus · no value · model 15.1%
X 4.66 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%
Double chance
X2 2.73 market consensus · no value · model 37.2%
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
1X 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 84.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · no value · model 39.3%
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · value +32.9% · model 60.7%
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.88 20.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%
6.40 15.6% 6.70 14.9% 7.06 14.2% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.82 35.5% 2.75 36.4%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75 — — 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.96 51.0% —
Over 3.5 2.65 37.7% — —
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.94 51.6% —
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6% — —
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8% — —
Match center
Juventus
Founded 1897
Bologna
Founded 1909
Match center
Juventus
W W D W W
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 GenoaGenoa
21.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 UdineseUdinese
07.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:0 PisaPisa
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Bologna
W W L W L
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 LecceLecce
05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
22.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 LazioLazio
15.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
08.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Bologna

Juventus
2 matches total
Bologna
Juventus: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Juventus 1:0 (14.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.05 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
1:0
Bologna
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
1:1
Bologna
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.