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Serie A Italy

37 round 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 10:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

Serie A

Juventus - Fiorentina

Italy Football

Juventus

0 : 2

Finished

Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Fiorentina May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.32 / 2 8.30
1X2 market: Juventus 70.7% / X 17.9% / Fiorentina 11.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 70.8%

X 17.8%

2 11.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%

Over 2.5 59.7%

Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Juventus

Main outcome Juventus

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Alyants (Turin, Italy), 41 676 zriteley (91% pri vmestimosti 45 666)

Referee Davide Massa (Imperiya)

Start 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Juventus - Fiorentina

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Yuventus - Fiorentina, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 37 round. Yuventus - Fiorentina, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 18

Statistics 24

Lineups 48

min Event Player Team

0' 0' Red Card | L. Ranieri L. Ranieri Fiorentina

22' 22' Yellow Card | M. Pongracic M. Pongracic Fiorentina

32' 32' Substitution 1 | F. Parisi | assist/sub out: J. Harrison F. Parisi Fiorentina

34' 34' Normal Goal | C. Ndour | assist/sub out: M. Solomon C. Ndour Fiorentina

45' 45' Yellow Card | Bremer Bremer Juventus

46' 46' Substitution 1 | T. Koopmeiners | assist/sub out: J. Boga Teun Koopmeiners Juventus

64' 64' Substitution 2 | L. Ranieri | assist/sub out: P. Comuzzo L. Ranieri Fiorentina

64' 64' Substitution 3 | M. Brescianini | assist/sub out: R. Mandragora M. Brescianini Fiorentina

Metric Juventus Fiorentina SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.98 0.47 final

Zablokirovannye udary 7 3 final

Shots off target 10 3 final

Shots on target 9 4 final

Udary vsego 26 10 final

Fouls soversheno 15 12 final

Red cards 0 1 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final

Juventus #8 Teun Koopmeiners, #9 D. Vlahović, #10 Kenan Yıldız, #16 M. Di Gregorio, #27 A. Cambiaso, #5 M. Locatelli, #6 L. Kelly, #22 Weston McKennie, #3 Bremer, #7 F. Conceicao, #15 P. Kalulu

Fiorentina #4 M. Brescianini, #19 M. Solomon, #21 R. Gosens, #43 David de Gea, #6 L. Ranieri, #44 N. Fagioli, #91 R. Piccoli, #5 M. Pongracic, #27 C. Ndour, #65 F. Parisi, #2 Dodô

Player Team Metric SStats

A. GuG°mundsson Fiorentina football.player.assists 0

A. GuG°mundsson Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 26

C. Ndour Fiorentina football.player.assists 0

C. Ndour Fiorentina football.player.goals 1

C. Ndour Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 90

David de Gea Fiorentina football.player.assists 0

David de Gea Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 90

Dodô Fiorentina football.player.assists 0

Dodô Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 90

F. Parisi Fiorentina football.player.assists 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.30 market consensus · line only

X 5.32 market consensus · line only

1 1.34 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.15 market consensus · line only

1X 1.07 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.29 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.59 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.32 75.8%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.30 76.9%
X	5.25 19.1%	5.64 17.7%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.50 18.2%	5.00 20.0%
	8.30 12.1%	8.30 12.1%	7.50 13.3%	7.50 13.3%	8.75 11.4%	9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	3.30 30.3%	3.24 30.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.13 88.5%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5	1.18 84.8%	1.15 87.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.20 83.3%
Over 2.0	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 2.25	—	1.48 67.6%
Over 2.5	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%
Over 3.5	2.45 40.8%	—
Over 4.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Under 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
Under 1.5	4.75 21.1%	—
Under 2.5	2.30 43.5%	—
Under 3.5	1.53 65.4%	—
Under 4.5	1.20 83.3%	—

Match center

Juventus

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Fiorentina

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Abdelkhamid Sabiri

Match center

Juventus

W D D W W

09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 1:0 Lecce

03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Juventus 1:1 Hellas Verona

26.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 0:0 AC Milan

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 2:0 Bologna

11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Juventus 1:0 Atalanta

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

11 Points

Fiorentina

D L D D W

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Genoa

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:4 AS Roma

26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo

20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:1 Lecce

13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:0 Lazio

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Fiorentina

Juventus

1 matches total

Fiorentina

Juventus: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Fiorentina: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 22.11 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.11 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.11 17:00 UTC

Serie A

Juventus

1:1

Fiorentina

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Juventus

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Fiorentina

36 Games 36

19 Wins 8

11 Draws 14

6 Losses 14

59 Scored 38

30 Conceded 49

68 Points 38

106.62 Attacks 90.74

60.59 Dangerous attacks 41.06

0 Big chances 0

16.44 Shots on goal 12.39

5.97 Shots on target 3.42

0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Sher Ndur Manor Solomon 0:1 34' Rolando Mandragora 0:2 83' Nakazaniya Marin Pongrachich 22' Bremer 44' Luka Raneri 73' Dzhek Kharrison 85' Albert Gudmundsson 90+1' VAR Dushan Vlakhovich 70'

Yuventus Fiorentina 36 Games 36 19 Wins 8 11 Draws 14 6 Losses 14 59 Scored 38 30 Conceded 49 68 Points 38 106.62 Attacks 90.74 60.59 Dangerous attacks 41.06 0 Big chances 0 16.44 Shots on goal 12.39 5.97 Udary v stvor 3.42 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.39 Uglovye 4.56 1.78 Offsaydy 1.58 12.03 Foly 12.53 57.69 % vladeniya myachom 51.47 1.33 Warnings 2.19 0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Sher Ndur Manor Solomon 0:1 34' Rolando Mandragora 0:2 83' Nakazaniya Marin Pongrachich 22' Bremer 44' Luka Raneri 73' Dzhek Kharrison 85' Albert Gudmundsson 90+1' VAR Dushan Vlakhovich 70'