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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.04.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Genoa

Italy Futbol
Stadium Альянц Стэдиум
Juventus
Juventus
2 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Juventus — 64%

1 · Juventus ✓ Прогноз63.8%
market68%
X · draw21.8%
market20%
2 · Genoa14.5%
market11%

Model estimate: win Juventus 63.8%, draw 21.8%, win Genoa 14.5%. Model favourite — Juventus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Genoa 6 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Strongest: Juventus - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.65 / 2 8.42
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 68.3% / X 20.4% / Genoa 11.3%
  • Glicko: Juventus 63.8% / X 21.8% / Genoa 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 37.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Прогноз 68.3%
X 20.4%
2 11.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 67.1%
Total ТМ 2.5
Score 1:0

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 06.04.2026 16:00 UTC
Stadium Альянц Стэдиум (Турин)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Juventus 64%
💹 Market Juventus 6828%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Juventus - Genoa

Juventus: Победа 1.38 Juventus: Ничья 4.50 Genoa Победа: 9.50 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.91 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 1.91 Индивидуальный тотал голов Juventus больше 1.5: 1.53 Индивидуальный тотал голов Juventus меньше 1.5: 2.38 Индивидуальный тотал голов Genoa больше 0…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
4' 4' Normal Goal | Bremer Juventus
15' 15' Yellow Card | Manuel Locatelli Juventus
17' 17' Normal Goal | Weston McKennie J. Galan Juventus
26' 26' Yellow Card | Weston McKennie J. Galan Juventus
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Mattia Perin | assist/sub out: Michele Di Gregorio R. Ait-Nouri Juventus
51' 51' Yellow Card | Morten Frendrup Луиза Керстин Мари Тернстрём Genoa
52' 52' Substitution 1 | Junior Messias | assist/sub out: Tommaso Baldanzi Genoa
66' 66' Substitution 2 | Ruslan Malinovskyi | assist/sub out: Patrizio Masini Alessandro Circati Genoa
Metric Juventus Genoa SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.23 1.42 final
Заблокированные удары 3 7 final
Удары мимо 8 2 final
Удары в створ 5 3 final
Удары всего 16 12 final
Фолы совершено 10 8 final
Желтые карточки 4 1 final
Офсайды 0 0 final
Juventus #3 Aarón Martín, #5 L. Ostigard, #9 Vítinha, #10 Junior Messias, #16 J. Bijlow, #17 R. Malinovskyi, #22 J. Vasquez, #27 A. Marcandalli, #29 L. Colombo, #32 M. Frendrup, #77 M. Ellertsson
Genoa #1 M. Perin, #3 Bremer, #5 M. Locatelli, #6 L. Kelly, #7 F. Conceicao, #10 Kenan Yıldız, #15 P. Kalulu, #19 K. Thuram, #22 Weston McKennie, #27 A. Cambiaso, #30 J. David
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Cambiaso Genoa football.player.assists 0
A. Cambiaso Genoa Дриблинг попытки 4
A. Cambiaso Genoa Дриблинг успешно 1
A. Cambiaso Genoa Единоборства всего 1
A. Cambiaso Genoa Единоборства выиграно 6
A. Cambiaso Genoa Фолы совершено 1
A. Cambiaso Genoa Фолы на игроке 1
A. Cambiaso Genoa Сейвы 0
A. Cambiaso Genoa football.player.minutes_played 83
A. Cambiaso Genoa Точность пасов % 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Juventus 69.9% 63.8% market and model agree
Draw 19.7% 21.8% draw risk
Genoa 10.4% 14.5%
xG - 1.86 : 0.75
Total 2.5 Over 37.0% - Under 63.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.06
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 63.8% / 21.8% / 14.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,636 / 1,487 Juventus / Genoa
RD 75 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.42 market consensus · no value · model 14.5%
X 4.65 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 63.8%
Double chance
X2 2.96 market consensus · no value · model 36.2%
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 78.2%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 85.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.13 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 37.0%
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · value +25.3% · model 63.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
Х 4.33 23.1% 4.95 20.2% 4.94 20.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
П2 8.80 11.4% 8.30 12.1% 8.45 11.8% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5% 8.75 11.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 0.75 — — 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 1.0 — — 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 1.25 — — 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.5 1.28 78.1% — —
ТБ 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% —
ТБ 2.75 — 2.03 49.3% —
ТБ 3.5 3.10 32.3% — —
ТБ 4.5 5.75 17.4% — —
ТМ 0.5 9.50 10.5% — —
ТМ 1.5 3.55 28.2% — —
ТМ 2.5 1.93 51.8% 2.06 48.5% —
ТМ 2.75 — 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 3.5 1.35 74.1% — —
ТМ 4.5 1.12 89.3% — —
Match center
Juventus
Founded 1897
Genoa
Founded 1893
Match center
Juventus
EH E. Holm Foot Injury
Genoa
MC M. Cornet Thigh Injury
Juventus Founded: 1897
Genoa Founded: 1893
Match center
Juventus
D W W D L
21.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 UdineseUdinese
07.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:0 PisaPisa
01.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:3 AS RomaAS Roma
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:2 ComoComo
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Genoa
L W W L W
20.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 UdineseUdinese
15.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 InterInter
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Genoa

Juventus
2 matches total
Genoa
Juventus: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Juventus 3:0 (28.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 28.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus
1:0
Genoa
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus
3:0
Genoa
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.