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Serie A
Serie A Italy
12.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Lecce

Italy Football
Juventus
Juventus
2 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Lecce April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.22 / 2 11.06
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 72.7% / X 18.5% / Lecce 8.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 72.7%
X 18.5%
2 8.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5 51.5%
Under 2.5 48.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.22 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2%
X 5.22 19.2%
11.06 9.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.62 27.6%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 2.5 2.01 49.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
8.97 11.2%
Match center
Juventus
D D D W D
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:2 ParmaParma
27.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:4 InterInter
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 LazioLazio
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 CagliariCagliari
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Lecce
D W L L L
06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 Venezia
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:6 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Lecce

Juventus
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history