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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.01.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Lecce

Italy Football
Juventus
Juventus
1 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Lecce January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.62 / 2 12.71
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 75.5% / X 17.0% / Lecce 7.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 75.6%
X 16.9%
2 7.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.99 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 10.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
X 5.85 17.1%
13.46 7.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
X 5.70 17.5% 5.60 17.9% 5.74 17.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2% 5.50 18.2%
11.50 8.7% 13.00 7.7% 13.70 7.3% 13.00 7.7% 12.50 8.0% 13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.39 41.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.80 26.3% 3.88 25.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0% 3.92 25.5% 4.19 23.9%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Juventus
W W W L W
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 PisaPisa
20.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
14.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 BolognaBologna
07.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CagliariCagliari
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Lecce
L W L W L
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 ComoComo
12.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 PisaPisa
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 TorinoTorino
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 LazioLazio
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Lecce

Juventus
1 matches total
Lecce
Juventus: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Juventus 2:1 (12.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 12.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
2:1
Lecce