Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Napoli

Italy Futbol
Juventus
Juventus
0 : 0
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Napoli 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.15 / 2 3.22
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 38.9% / X 30.9% / Napoli 30.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 38.9%
X 30.9%
2 30.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 41.1%
Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Napoli

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.22 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.50 40.0%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.22 31.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.39 71.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.36 42.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.65 60.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.72 58.1%
П2 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Juventus
D D
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 Empoli
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 AS RomaAS Roma
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
2 Points
Napoli
W
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 4:0 CagliariCagliari
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Napoli

Juventus
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history