Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Napoli

Italy Futbol
Juventus
Juventus
3 : 0
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Napoli 25 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.11 / 2 4.39
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 47.8% / X 30.6% / Napoli 21.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 47.8%
X 30.6%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 38.0%
Under 2.5 62.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.05 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.18 31.5%
П2 4.68 21.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.96 51.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.23 31.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.68 21.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Juventus
L W W D W
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 CagliariCagliari
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 5:0 CremoneseCremonese
06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 SassuoloSassuolo
03.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 LecceLecce
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 PisaPisa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Napoli
W D D D W
17.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 ParmaParma
11.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:2 InterInter
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 LazioLazio
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Napoli

Juventus
2 matches total
Napoli
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Napoli: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Napoli 1:2 (07.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 07.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (21.09 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

07.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
1:2
Napoli
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus
0:0
Napoli