AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Juventus. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
29.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Juventus meet Parma on August 29, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Juventus 4-0-1, Parma 1-2-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Juventus — 59%
Model estimate: win Juventus 59.3%, draw 20.2%, win Parma 20.4%. Model favourite — Juventus.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — Juventus or draw 1.04
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.53 65.4% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.13 47.0% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 8.50 11.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 2 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 3 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 4 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 2 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 3 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 4 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
Juventus
Parma
Juventus
Parma
Full head-to-head history: Juventus - Parma
Seriya A
Seriya A
Seriya A
The Juventus - Parma breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 29, 2026.
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