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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
21.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Juventus
Juventus
1 : 1
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Sassuolo March 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.52 / 2 9.97
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 73.2% / X 17.2% / Sassuolo 9.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 73.2%
X 17.2%
2 9.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.41 market consensus · line only
X 5.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.35 74.1%
X 5.35 18.7%
9.02 11.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
X 5.30 18.9% 5.70 17.5% 5.80 17.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%
9.40 10.6% 10.00 10.0% 10.60 9.4% 9.50 10.5% 9.00 11.1% 10.75 9.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Juventus
W W D L L
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 UdineseUdinese
07.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:0 PisaPisa
01.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:3 AS RomaAS Roma
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:2 ComoComo
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:3 InterInter
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Sassuolo
L L W W W
15.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 BolognaBologna
09.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 LazioLazio
01.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
15.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 UdineseUdinese
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Sassuolo

Juventus
1 matches total
Sassuolo
Juventus: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sassuolo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Juventus 3:0 (06.01 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 06.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
3:0
Sassuolo