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Serie A
Serie A Italy
13.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
13.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - AS Roma

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
1 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - AS Roma April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.21 / X 3.17 / 2 2.50
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 30.3% / X 30.7% / AS Roma 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 30.3%
X 30.7%
2 38.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.21 31.2%
X 3.17 31.6%
2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.59 62.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
1.72 58.1%
Match center
Lazio
W W W L W
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 5:1 ComoComo
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 JuventusJuventus
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Empoli
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
AS Roma
D W L L D
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 JuventusJuventus
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 TorinoTorino
27.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:5 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
06.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 Monza
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - AS Roma

Lazio
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history