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Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
20.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Cremonese

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
0 : 0
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Cremonese December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 3.76 / 2 6.06
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 59.0% / X 25.3% / Cremonese 15.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 59.0%
X 25.3%
2 15.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.42 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
X 3.82 26.2%
6.37 15.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.89 25.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0%
6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1% 6.44 15.5% 5.50 18.2% 6.25 16.0% 6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Lazio
W D L W L
13.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 ParmaParma
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 BolognaBologna
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 LecceLecce
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 InterInter
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Cremonese
L W W L L
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 TorinoTorino
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 LecceLecce
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:1 BolognaBologna
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 PisaPisa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Cremonese

Lazio
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history