Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Empoli

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 1
Finished
Empoli
Empoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Empoli 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.03 / 2 6.42
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 60.9% / X 24.0% / Empoli 15.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 60.9%
X 24.0%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.2%
Over 2.5 48.0%
Under 2.5 52.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Empoli

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.42 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 1.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.59 62.9%
Х 4.03 24.8%
П2 6.42 15.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.49 40.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.04 49.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.88 53.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.21 82.6%
П2 4.86 20.6%
Match center
Lazio
W L W
29.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:2 TorinoTorino
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points
Empoli
D W D
29.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 2:0 CagliariCagliari
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Empoli

Lazio
0 matches total
Empoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history