Match center
Start
07.01.2026 19:45 UTC
07.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Lazio - Fiorentina
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lazio - Fiorentina 7 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.
Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 2.99 / 2 3.08
- 1X2 market: Lazio 37.0% / X 32.0% / Fiorentina 31.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
37.0%
X
32.0%
2
31.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lazio - Fiorentina
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.09
market consensus · line only
X
2.99
market consensus · line only
1
2.58
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.52
market consensus · line only
12
1.39
market consensus · line only
1X
1.38
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.53
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.21
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.02
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.67
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.37
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.83
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.93
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.62 38.2% |
| Х | 3.04 32.9% |
| П2 | 3.16 31.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.52 39.7% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.66 37.6% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% |
| Х | 2.92 34.3% | 2.98 33.6% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.88 34.7% |
| П2 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.54 64.9% |
| home_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.42 70.4% |
| home_draw | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
Lazio
L
D
D
W
D
04.01 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Lazio
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
27.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lazio
1:1
Udinese
Udinese
20.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lazio
0:0
Cremonese
Cremonese
13.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lazio
1:0
Parma
Parma
07.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lazio
1:1
Bologna
Bologna
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Fiorentina
W
L
W
L
L
04.01 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:0
Cremonese
Cremonese
27.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
Parma
Parma
21.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
5:1
Udinese
Udinese
14.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
06.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:3
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLazio - Fiorentina
Lazio
1
matches total
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Fiorentina 1:2 (22.09 10:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 22.09 10:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
22.09 10:30 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Lazio
1:2
Fiorentina