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Serie A
Serie A Italy
16.09.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
16.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Hellas Verona

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 1
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Hellas Verona 16 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 4.07 / 2 6.24
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 60.6% / X 23.8% / Hellas Verona 15.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 60.6%
X 23.8%
2 15.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Under 2.5 51.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Hellas Verona

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.24 market consensus · line only
X 4.07 market consensus · line only
1 1.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.60 62.5%
Х 4.07 24.6%
П2 6.24 16.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.45 40.8%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.03 49.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.88 53.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.22 82.0%
П2 4.75 21.1%
Match center
Hellas Verona
W
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:0 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Hellas Verona

Lazio
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history