Serie A
Serie A Italy
31.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Hellas Verona

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
4 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Hellas Verona 31 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 3.87 / 2 6.60
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 61.0% / X 24.6% / Hellas Verona 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 61.0%
X 24.6%
2 14.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3%
Х 3.88 25.8%
П2 7.00 14.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%
Х 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
П2 6.40 15.6% 6.90 14.5% 6.59 15.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.10 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.44 41.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.48 40.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Lazio
L L D D W
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 ComoComo
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 LecceLecce
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 InterInter
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 JuventusJuventus
04.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Empoli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Hellas Verona
D W D D L
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 UdineseUdinese
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 Empoli
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 ComoComo
11.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 LecceLecce
03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 InterInter
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Hellas Verona

Lazio
1 matches total
Hellas Verona
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lazio 2:1 (16.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 16.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
2:1
Hellas Verona