Serie A
Serie A Italy
10.05.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
1 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Juventus 10 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.20 / 2 3.23
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 39.8% / X 30.2% / Juventus 30.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 39.8%
X 30.2%
2 30.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.43 41.2%
Х 3.20 31.3%
П2 3.23 31.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.26 44.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.69 59.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.68 59.5%
П2 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Lazio
W D W D W
04.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Empoli
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 ParmaParma
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 GenoaGenoa
13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Juventus
D W L W D
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 BolognaBologna
27.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 Monza
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 ParmaParma
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 LecceLecce
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Juventus

Lazio
1 matches total
Juventus
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Juventus: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Juventus 0:1 (19.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 19.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:1
Juventus