Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
1 : 0
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Juventus 26 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.43 / X 3.18 / 2 2.27
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 27.9% / X 30.1% / Juventus 42.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 27.9%
X 30.0%
2 42.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 3.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.54 28.3%
Х 3.21 31.2%
П2 2.31 43.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.53 28.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
Х 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Lazio
D D W L L
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 TorinoTorino
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Juventus
L D D D W
19.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:2 ComoComo
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 AC MilanAC Milan
27.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:3 InterInter
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Juventus

Lazio
2 matches total
Juventus
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Juventus: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Juventus 0:1 (19.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 10.05 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (10.05 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio
1:1
Juventus
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:1
Juventus