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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Parma

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 2
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Parma April 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.99 / 2 8.52
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 69.4% / X 19.3% / Parma 11.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 69.4%
X 19.3%
2 11.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
X 4.99 20.0%
8.52 11.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.21 31.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.13 88.5%
6.94 14.4%
Match center
Lazio
W D W W W
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 GenoaGenoa
13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 5:1 ComoComo
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Parma
W D D D D
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 JuventusJuventus
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 JuventusJuventus
27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 Empoli
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Parma

Lazio
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history