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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Pisa

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 1
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Pisa May 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 3.80 / 2 4.89
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 55.6% / X 25.0% / Pisa 19.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 55.6%
X 25.0%
2 19.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 4.89 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.22 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.03 24.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0%
4.65 21.5% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.75 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.0 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.25 1.74 57.5%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Lazio
L L W D W
17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
09.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:3 InterInter
04.05 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 UdineseUdinese
18.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Pisa
L L L L L
17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:3 NapoliNapoli
10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:3 CremoneseCremonese
01.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:2 LecceLecce
25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 ParmaParma
19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:2 GenoaGenoa
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Pisa

Lazio
1 matches total
Pisa
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (30.10 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:0
Pisa