PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
09.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 1
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Sassuolo March 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.12 / 2 3.33
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 41.0% / X 30.5% / Sassuolo 28.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 41.0%
X 30.5%
2 28.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 09.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.34 market consensus · line only
X 3.12 market consensus · line only
1 2.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.25 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.36 42.4%
X 3.20 31.3%
3.42 29.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.32 43.1%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Lazio
L D L D W
01.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 TorinoTorino
21.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 CagliariCagliari
14.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
08.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 JuventusJuventus
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:2 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Sassuolo
W W W L W
01.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
15.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 UdineseUdinese
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:5 InterInter
31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 PisaPisa
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Sassuolo

Lazio
1 matches total
Sassuolo
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sassuolo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sassuolo 0:1 (14.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 14.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:1
Sassuolo