Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Torino

Italy Futbol
Lazio
Lazio
3 : 3
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Torino 4 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.30 / 2 4.67
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 50.7% / X 28.8% / Torino 20.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 50.7%
X 28.9%
2 20.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.89 52.9%
Х 3.28 30.5%
П2 5.08 19.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.46 28.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
П2 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.80 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Lazio
W L L W L
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 4:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 ComoComo
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Torino
L L W D L
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 ParmaParma
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:5 InterInter
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Torino

Lazio
1 matches total
Torino
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torino: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lazio 3:2 (29.09 10:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 29.09 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio
3:2
Torino