Match center
Start
29.08.2025 18:45 UTC
29.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Lecce - AC Milan
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lecce - AC Milan 29 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.26 / X 3.84 / 2 1.59
- 1X2 market: Lecce 15.2% / X 24.8% / AC Milan 60.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
15.2%
X
24.8%
2
60.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lecce - AC Milan
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.59
market consensus · line only
X
3.84
market consensus · line only
1
6.28
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
2.38
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.86
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.97
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 6.61 15.1% |
| Х | 3.96 25.3% |
| П2 | 1.58 63.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.38 15.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.40 15.6% |
| Х | 3.95 25.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.95 25.3% |
| П2 | 1.56 64.1% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.96 51.0% | 2.03 49.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 2.40 41.7% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% |
Match center
Lecce
D
W
W
D
L
23.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:0
Genoa
Genoa
25.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Lazio
Lazio
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Torino
Torino
11.05 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:1
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
03.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:1
Napoli
Napoli
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0.6
Scored
0.4
Conceded
8
Points
AC Milan
L
W
L
W
W
23.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:2
Cremonese
Cremonese
24.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:0
Monza
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:3
AS Roma
AS Roma
09.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:1
Bologna
Bologna
05.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:1
Genoa
Genoa
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLecce - AC Milan
Lecce
1
matches total
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AC Milan: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
AC Milan 0:3 (27.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (0:3, 27.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
27.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Lecce
0:3
AC Milan