AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AS Roma. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
31.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce meet AS Roma on August 31, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lecce 4-0-1, AS Roma 4-0-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 AS Roma — 49%
Model estimate: win Lecce 29.3%, draw 21.7%, win AS Roma 49.0%. Model favourite — AS Roma.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — AS Roma or draw 1.12
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 2.55 39.2% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 1.15 87.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 3 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.45 29.0% |
| Over 4 | 5.50 18.2% |
| Over 4.5 | 6.20 16.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Under 1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 2 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 3 | 1.37 73.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 4 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
Lecce
AS Roma
Lecce
Venetsiya
Dzhenoa
Sassuolo
Yuventus
Pisa
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Latsio
Parma Kalcho
Full head-to-head history: Lecce - AS Roma
Seriya A
Seriya A
The Lecce - AS Roma breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 31, 2026.
Match markets