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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.04.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Como

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 3
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Como April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.54 / X 3.38 / 2 2.23
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 27.5% / X 28.8% / Como 43.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 27.5%
X 28.8%
2 43.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 3.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.54 28.3%
X 3.38 29.6%
2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.72 58.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 2.5 1.79 55.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.50 40.0%
1.57 63.7%
Match center
Lecce
L D W L L
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:2 JuventusJuventus
06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 Venezia
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:6 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Como
W W L L D
13.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 TorinoTorino
05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 Monza
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:5 LazioLazio
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 TorinoTorino
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 ParmaParma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Como

Lecce
0 matches total
Como
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history