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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
27.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Como

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 3
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Como December 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.98 / X 3.38 / 2 1.80
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 19.1% / X 28.1% / Como 52.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 19.1%
X 28.1%
2 52.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.8%
Under 2.5 58.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 5.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.26 19.0%
X 3.43 29.2%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.40 18.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.93 51.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%
Match center
Lecce
W L W L D
12.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 PisaPisa
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 TorinoTorino
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 LazioLazio
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Como
L L W W D
15.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:4 InterInter
28.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 SassuoloSassuolo
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Como 5:1 TorinoTorino
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Como

Lecce
1 matches total
Como
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Como 0:3 (19.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 19.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce
0:3
Como