Match center
Start
20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
20.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Lecce - Fiorentina
0
:
6
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lecce - Fiorentina 20 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.46 / X 3.15 / 2 2.38
- 1X2 market: Lecce 28.2% / X 30.9% / Fiorentina 40.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.7%
1
28.2%
X
30.9%
2
40.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lecce - Fiorentina
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.38
market consensus · line only
X
3.15
market consensus · line only
1
3.46
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.35
market consensus · line only
12
1.40
market consensus · line only
1X
1.64
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.26
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.46 28.9% |
| Х | 3.15 31.8% |
| П2 | 2.38 42.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_away | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_draw | 1.64 61.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.37 42.2% |
| П2 | 1.63 61.4% |
Match center
Lecce
L
L
D
D
05.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:1
Udinese
Udinese
27.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:3
AC Milan
AC Milan
21.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
2:2
Parma
Parma
15.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:0
Torino
Torino
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
2
Points
Fiorentina
W
D
W
L
D
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:1
AC Milan
AC Milan
29.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Empoli
22.09 10:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:1
Lazio
Lazio
15.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:3
Atalanta
Atalanta
01.09 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Monza
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLecce - Fiorentina
Lecce
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals